The Real Risks Facing Brazil After January 8
After the failed insurrection in Brasília, authorities worry about domestic terrorism and the loyalties of Brazil’s armed forces and police, writes AQ’s editor-in-chief.
REACTION: A Third Term for Brazil’s Lula
A stunning turnaround for the leader comes just days short of the third anniversary of his leaving jail—and marks the first time an incumbent loses reelection in Brazil.
What If Jair Bolsonaro Wins?
Once deemed unlikely, reelection would allow Brazil’s president to double down on his cultural agenda and bring an uncertain outlook for foreign policy and the economy.
AQ Podcast: Brazil’s Election and the Risk of an Institutional Standoff
Political analyst Thomas Traumann on the final weeks of the campaign and what could happen next
The Imminent Election Crisis in Brazil
Still trailing in polls, Bolsonaro seems determined to stay in power. AQ’s editor-in-chief examines potential scenarios for the confrontation ahead.
Why Foreign Policy Matters for Brazil’s Election
Lula and Bolsonaro are both seeking to appeal to Brazilians’ desire for international recognition.
Jungmann: There Will Not Be a Coup in Brazil
An intervention is not being planned, and wouldn’t have enough support, says the country’s most recent civilian defense minister.
Brazil’s Election: A Looming Crisis for Washington
A meeting between the two presidents in Los Angeles foreshadowed bigger trouble ahead, as Bolsonaro looks set to challenge the vote.
Why Reelection Would Embolden Bolsonaro Even More
Recent history shows that authoritarian-leaning leaders become much more aggressive after winning reelection.
AQ Podcast: Could Jair Bolsonaro Still Win in Brazil?
A look at the Bolsonaro and Lula campaigns, from a Brazilian reporter with deep sources in both worlds.
Despite Everything, Bolsonaro Could Still Win
AQ’s editor-in-chief returns to Brazil and finds an unexpectedly open 2022 election.
A Music Festival Reveals the Generation Gap in Brazil’s Politics
A controversy over pro-Lula demonstrations at Lollapalooza overlaps with Bolsonaro’s bid to court older voters.
Book Review: Will Bolsonarismo Outlast Bolsonaro?
A new book by Richard Lapper sheds light on Brazil’s culture of popular conservatism.
All Eyes on Brazil’s Military as Election Approaches
Amid fears Bolsonaro may try to prevent a peaceful transition, generals emerge as key power brokers.
Bolsonaro’s Credibility on the Amazon Is Gone
Reports that Brazil’s government suppressed unflattering deforestation data will permanently change its relationships abroad, writes AQ’s editor in chief.